PROGRAMME

TYPICAL DAILY SCHEDULE:

Morning session: 9:00 - 12:30 (with ½ hour break, 1.5 + 1.5 hr or 2 +1 hrs)
Afternoon session: 14:30 - 18:00 (same set-up as the mornings)
Computer labs: they will deal with time series analysis, simple dynamical models and intermediate models.

Monday (June 8^th)

Morning

Introduction to dynamical systems I (M. Ghil, 2 hr)
Computer lab (intro. to the software, dynamical systems)

Afternoon

Introduction to the climate system (C. Holloway, 2 hr)
Computer lab (intro. to the software, time series analysis)

Tuesday (June 9^th)

Morning

Introduction to dynamical systems II (H. Dijkstra, 1.5 hr)
Introduction to the atmosphere (H. Le Treut, 1.5 hr)

Afternoon

Introduction to the ocean (E. Tzipermann, 1.5 hr)
The climate system as a dynamical system (M. Ghil, 1.5 hr)
Computer lab (dynamical systems, H. Dijkstra, 1 hr.)

Wednesday (June 10^th)

Morning

Climate modelling and its challenges (C. Holloway, 1.5 hr)
Uncertainty lessons from Pliocene and Eocene warm climates (E. Tziperman, 1.5 hr)

Afternoon

Free (half-day excursion in Szentendre and Visegrád)

Thursday (June 11^th)

Morning

Introduction to random dynamical systems (M. Chekroun, 1.5 hr)
Introduction to time series analysis (M. Ghil + D. Kondrashov, 1.5 hr)

Afternoon

Stochastic resonance and glacial climate changes (Z. Rácz, 1.5 hr)
Computer lab (dynamical systems, H. Dijkstra, 2 hr)

Friday (June 12^th)

Morning

Low-frequency-variability (interannual to decadal) - ocean (H.A. Dijkstra, 1.5 hr)
Towards the probabilistic Earth-System model (T.N. Palmer, 1.5 hr)

Afternoon

Student posters (with 2-3 minute oral introduction each)

Saturday (June 13^th)

Morning

Computer lab (time series analysis, D. Kondrashov)

Afternoon

Free

Sunday (June 14^th)

Full-day excursion: boat trip to Esztergom, picnic dinner afterwards

Monday (June 15^th)

Morning

IPCC-class climate modelling (D. Randall, 1.5 hr)
Uncertainty, information and decision support (L. Smith, 1.5 hr)

Afternoon

Intermediate climate models and parameter dependence (K. Fraedrich, 1.5 hr)
Dynamics of passive tracers (I. M. Janosi et al, 30 min.)
Computer lab (time series analysis, D. Kondrashov)

Evening

Panel discussion about uncertainties (20:30-22:00)

Tuesday (June 16^th)

Morning

Regional climate and downscaling I (J.H. Christensen, 1.5 hr)
Land surface processes and land-atmosphere interactions (L. Sushama, 1.5 hr)

Afternoon

Regional climate and downscaling & Regional climate modeling at the HMS
(A. Horanyi et al., 1.5 hr)
Regional climate modeling at the ELU (J. Bartholy et al., 30 min.)
Statistical properties of wind field over Europe (P. Kiss et al., 30 min)

Wednesday (June 17^th)

Morning

Overall discussion and conclusions (1.5 hr)